28 Sept · 19:40 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RK
🇨🇿Rene Kowal
ELO 1578
FormWWLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kowal
PV
🇨🇿Petr Vicherek
ELO 1570
FormWLLLW
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vicherek🌟Kowal rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (57)
Fair odds · Kowal
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+8
H2H27-20
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.