28 Sept · 16:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MN
🇨🇿Michal Nemec
ELO 1345
FormWLWLW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Zajicek
MZ
🇨🇿Martin Zajicek
ELO 1475
FormLLLLL
39%
61%
Fair odds · Zajicek
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~78 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+130
H2H4-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+130)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-0)