28 Sept · 18:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JK
🇨🇿Jan Krupnik
ELO 1588
FormLLLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Krupnik
LK
🇨🇿Lukas Kantor
ELO 1522
FormLWLWL
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kantor🌟Krupnik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (132)
Fair odds · Krupnik
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+66
H2H13-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+66)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-6)