28 Sept · 18:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MN
🇨🇿Michal Nemec
ELO 1345
FormWLWLW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Musil
FM
🇨🇿Filip Musil
ELO 1497
FormWWWWW
38%
62%
🌟Musil goes over total as favourite 93% (14)
Fair odds · Musil
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~78 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+152
H2H50-20
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+152)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (50-20)