28 Sept · 16:45 MESZLow · Coin Flip
FC
🇨🇿Frantisek Chaloupka
ELO 1597
FormLWWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Chaloupka
JK
🇨🇿Jan Krupnik
ELO 1588
FormLLLWL
51%
49%
🌟Krupnik covers set handicap as underdog 67% (100)
Fair odds · Chaloupka
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+9
H2H20-16
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.