28 Sept · 17:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MN
🇨🇿Michal Nemec
ELO 1345
FormWLWLW
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Zeman
RZ
🇨🇿Radek Zeman
ELO 1513
FormLLWWW
36%
64%
Fair odds · Zeman
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~77 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+168
H2H112-77
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+168)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (112-77)