28 Sept · 18:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JK
🇨🇿Jonas Kulveit
ELO 1483
FormWWLWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Melichar
JM
🇨🇿Jiri Melichar
ELO 1553
FormLWLWW
44%
56%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kulveit🌟Kulveit covers set handicap as underdog 74% (31)
Fair odds · Melichar
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+70
H2H1-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+70)