28 Sept · 18:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Kadavy
ELO 1714
FormWWLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Bochnak
DB
🇨🇿David Bochnak
ELO 1757
FormWLWWW
46%
54%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kadavy🌟Bochnak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (116)
Fair odds · Bochnak
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 48% · 2.07· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+43
H2H46-90
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.