28 Sept · 19:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LB
🇨🇿Lukasz Buklat
ELO 1641
FormLWWWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Buklat
KP
🇨🇿Kiejda Patryk
ELO 1536
FormWLWLL
59%
41%
Fair odds · Buklat
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 50% · 1.98· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+105
H2H20-20
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+105)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)