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28 Sep · 17:05 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
TMTomas Motacek
🇨🇿Tomas Motacek
ELO 1511
3-1Final setsMotacek won
MCMartin Chmelicek
🇨🇿Martin Chmelicek
ELO 1444
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Motacek at 55%. The actual result was Tomas Motacek 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Tomas Motacek favoured — closing 1.62
Favourite won
Total 74.5
78 points played
Over
Set handicap
Tomas Motacek −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Tomas Motacek −5.5 points
Covered
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.33
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
5.9
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Tomas Motacek is favoured to win, below means Martin Chmelicek.

▲ Tomas Motacekpre 52% → final 99%
Martin Chmelicek ▼
Biggest swing 51 pts72 points · 4 games