29 Sept · 09:15 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RZ
🇨🇿Radek Zajac
ELO 1446
FormLWLWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Stefek
DS
🇨🇿Dominik Stefek
ELO 1447
FormLLWWW
50%
50%
🌟Stefek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (41)
Fair odds · Stefek
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+1
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.