29 Sept · 08:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JM
🇨🇿Jiri Matus
ELO 1524
FormWWLWW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Matus
MS
🇨🇿Martin Sobota
ELO 1379
FormLLLLL
62%
38%
🌟Matus rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (81)
Fair odds · Matus
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~75 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
22%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+145
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+145)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)