29 Sept · 08:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JS
🇨🇿Jan Srnka
ELO 1593
FormWLLWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Srnka
AK
🇨🇿Adam Kral
ELO 1483
FormLWLLL
59%
41%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kral🌟Kral goes over total as underdog 70% (172)
Fair odds · Srnka
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 38% · 2.66· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+110
H2H0-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+110)