29 Sept · 12:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JR
🇨🇿Jan Ruzicka
ELO 1620
FormWWWLW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Ruzicka
OP
🇨🇿Ondrej Pros
ELO 1421
FormLWLLL
66%
34%
Fair odds · Ruzicka
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~74 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
18%
2-3
14%
1-3
13%
Elo Gap+199
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+199)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)