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28 Sep · 21:15 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MCMartin Chmelicek
🇨🇿Martin Chmelicek
ELO 1439
3-1Final setsChmelicek won
RHRadek Hruby
🇨🇿Radek Hruby
ELO 1334
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Chmelicek at 58%. The actual result was Martin Chmelicek 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Martin Chmelicek favoured — closing 1.34
Favourite won
Total 72.5
71 points played
Under
Set handicap
Martin Chmelicek −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Martin Chmelicek −7.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.4
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
8.4
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Martin Chmelicek is favoured to win, below means Radek Hruby.

▲ Martin Chmelicekpre 62% → final 98%
Radek Hruby ▼
Biggest swing 76 ptsChmelicek recovered from 23%72 points · 5 games