29 Sept · 11:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
FM
🇨🇿Filip Marat
ELO 1399
FormWWLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Kral
AK
🇨🇿Adam Kral
ELO 1483
FormLWLLL
43%
57%
🔥 Underdog lean · Marat🌟Kral goes over total as favourite 72% (90)
Fair odds · Kral
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+84
H2H23-23
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+84)