29 Sept · 13:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PB
🇨🇿Pavel Benes
ELO 1672
FormWLWWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Benes
VJ
🇨🇿Vaclav Hejda Jr
ELO 1564
FormWLLWW
59%
41%
🌟Jr covers set handicap as underdog 71% (168)
Fair odds · Benes
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 56% · 1.80· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+108
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+108)