29 Sept · 12:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MM
🇨🇿Michal Moravec
ELO 1582
FormWWWLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Moravec
DP
🇨🇿Dominik Pawlik
ELO 1465
FormLLLLL
59%
41%
Fair odds · Moravec
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 64% · 1.57· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
19%
3-0
18%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+117
H2H6-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+117)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-3)