29 Sept · 13:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
OP
🇨🇿Ondrej Pros
ELO 1421
FormLWLLL
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Lovl
JL
🇨🇿Jan Lovl
ELO 1596
FormWWLWW
36%
64%
Fair odds · Lovl
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~75 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+175
H2H5-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+175)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-1)