29 Sept · 15:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
FS
🇨🇿Filip Sikora
ELO 1655
FormWWLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Sikora
PV
🇨🇿Petr Vicherek
ELO 1575
FormWLLWW
57%
43%
🌟Vicherek covers set handicap as underdog 66% (82)
Fair odds · Sikora
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+80
H2H14-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+80)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-13)