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29 Sep · 08:45 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
JMJiri Matus
🇨🇿Jiri Matus
ELO 1518
3-1Final setsMatus won
MSMartin Sobota
🇨🇿Martin Sobota
ELO 1372
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Matus at 61%. The actual result was Jiri Matus 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jiri Matus favoured — closing 1.48
Favourite won
Total 74.5
65 points played
Under
Set handicap
Jiri Matus −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Jiri Matus −4.5 points
Covered
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.35
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
6.8
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jiri Matus is favoured to win, below means Martin Sobota.

▲ Jiri Matuspre 58% → final 12%
Martin Sobota ▼
Biggest swing 76 ptsSobota recovered from 12%72 points · 5 games