29 Sept · 16:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
T2
🇨🇿Tomas Beran 2000
ELO 1562
FormWWLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kafka
SK
🇨🇿Stanislav Kafka
ELO 1570
FormWLLLW
49%
51%
🌟2000 covers set handicap as underdog 64% (22)
Fair odds · Kafka
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+8
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.