29 Sept · 11:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
SR
🇨🇿Szymon Radlo
ELO 1495
FormLLLLW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Stapor
DS
🇨🇿Dawid Stapor
ELO 1623
FormWWWWW
40%
60%
Fair odds · Stapor
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 60% · 1.67· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~78 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+128
H2H35-32
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+128)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (35-32)