29 Sept · 12:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SW
🇨🇿Sylwester Wloszek
ELO 1515
FormLWLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Gola
PG
🇨🇿Pawel Gola
ELO 1573
FormWLWLL
45%
55%
Fair odds · Gola
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 54% · 1.84· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+58
H2H96-55
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+58)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (96-55)