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29 Sep · 20:05 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
JMJirasek Martin
🇨🇿Jirasek Martin
ELO 1537
3-2Final setsMartin won
TKTomas Krcil
🇨🇿Tomas Krcil
ELO 1533
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Martin at 51%. The actual result was Jirasek Martin 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jirasek Martin favoured — closing 1.57
Favourite won
Total 74.5
93 points played
Over
Set handicap
Jirasek Martin −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Jirasek Martin −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.75
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jirasek Martin is favoured to win, below means Tomas Krcil.

▲ Jirasek Martinpre 55% → final 90%
Tomas Krcil ▼
Biggest swing 58 ptsMartin recovered from 37%72 points · 5 games