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30 Sep · 15:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
LBLukasz Buklat
🇨🇿Lukasz Buklat
ELO 1655
3-2Final setsBuklat won
DKDenys Kovtanyuk
🇨🇿Denys Kovtanyuk
ELO 1363
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Buklat at 71%. The actual result was Lukasz Buklat 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Lukasz Buklat favoured — closing 1.3
Favourite won
Total 76.5
99 points played
Over
Set handicap
Lukasz Buklat −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Lukasz Buklat −6.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.4
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Lukasz Buklat is favoured to win, below means Denys Kovtanyuk.

▲ Lukasz Buklatpre 76% → final 92%
Denys Kovtanyuk ▼
Biggest swing 76 ptsBuklat recovered from 21%72 points · 5 games