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29 Sep · 22:05 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
RMRadek Muller
🇨🇿Radek Muller
ELO 1477
2-3Final setsCousin won
JCJean-Baptiste Cousin
🇨🇿Jean-Baptiste Cousin
ELO 1426
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Muller at 55%. The actual result was Jean-Baptiste Cousin 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Radek Muller favoured — closing 1.54
Upset
Total 75.5
87 points played
Over
Set handicap
Radek Muller −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Radek Muller −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.38
Over
Exact score
market priced 2-3 at close
4.65
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Radek Muller is favoured to win, below means Jean-Baptiste Cousin.

▲ Radek Mullerpre 59% → final 24%
Jean-Baptiste Cousin ▼
Biggest swing 64 ptsCousin recovered from 12%72 points · 5 games