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30 Sep · 15:10 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JLJakub Lysek
🇨🇿Jakub Lysek
ELO 1413
1-3Final setsSobota won
MSMartin Sobota
🇨🇿Martin Sobota
ELO 1372
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Lysek at 50%. The actual result was Martin Sobota 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jakub Lysek favoured — closing 1.76
Upset
Total 78.5
83 points played
Over
Set handicap
Jakub Lysek −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Jakub Lysek −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.32
Over
Exact score
market priced 1-3 at close
5.05
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jakub Lysek is favoured to win, below means Martin Sobota.

▲ Jakub Lysekpre 54% → final 0%
Martin Sobota ▼
Biggest swing 60 ptsSobota recovered from 40%72 points · 4 games