30 Sept · 19:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LL
🇨🇿Laurent Lasota
ELO 1499
FormLLLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Lasota
JP
🇨🇿Jan Przybyla
ELO 1472
FormLWWWW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Lasota
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+27
H2H2-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.