30 Sept · 18:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DS
🇨🇿David Sochor
ELO 1400
FormWLLWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Sochor
MS
🇨🇿Miroslav Sochor
ELO 1508
FormLLWWL
41%
59%
Fair odds · Sochor
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 69% · 1.46· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+108
H2H7-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+108)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-6)