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30 Sep · 14:10 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MSMartin Sobota
🇨🇿Martin Sobota
ELO 1372
1-3Final setsZustina won
LZLukas Zustina
🇨🇿Lukas Zustina
ELO 1436
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Zustina at 54%. The actual result was Lukas Zustina 1-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Lukas Zustina favoured — closing 1.74
Favourite won
Total 75.5
76 points played
Over
Set handicap
Lukas Zustina −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Lukas Zustina −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.32
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Martin Sobota is favoured to win, below means Lukas Zustina.

▲ Martin Sobotapre 49% → final 4%
Lukas Zustina ▼
Biggest swing 67 ptsZustina recovered from 33%72 points · 4 games