30 Sept · 18:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DH
🇨🇿Daniel Hyza
ELO 1584
FormLLWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Benes
PB
🇨🇿Pavel Benes
ELO 1666
FormLWLWW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Benes
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+82
H2H16-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+82)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (16-13)