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30 Sep · 10:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
JVJan Vonasek
🇨🇿Jan Vonasek
ELO 1562
3-2Final setsVonasek won
OFOndrej Fiklik
🇨🇿Ondrej Fiklik
ELO 1516
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Vonasek at 52%. The actual result was Jan Vonasek 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jan Vonasek favoured — closing 1.79
Favourite won
Total 75.5
90 points played
Over
Set handicap
Jan Vonasek −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Jan Vonasek −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.3
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.1
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jan Vonasek is favoured to win, below means Ondrej Fiklik.

▲ Jan Vonasekpre 49% → final 98%
Ondrej Fiklik ▼
Biggest swing 63 ptsVonasek recovered from 36%72 points · 4 games