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30 Sep · 15:40 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
FMFilip Mandrysz
🇨🇿Filip Mandrysz
ELO 1484
3-2Final setsMandrysz won
MSMartin Sobota
🇨🇿Martin Sobota
ELO 1372
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Mandrysz at 55%. The actual result was Filip Mandrysz 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Filip Mandrysz favoured — closing 1.85
Favourite won
Total 75.5
98 points played
Over
Set handicap
Filip Mandrysz −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Filip Mandrysz −0.5 points
Covered
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.32
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.1
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Filip Mandrysz is favoured to win, below means Martin Sobota.

▲ Filip Mandryszpre 52% → final 78%
Martin Sobota ▼
Biggest swing 59 ptsMandrysz recovered from 25%72 points · 5 games