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30 Sep · 11:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
BMBartlomiej Molka
🇨🇿Bartlomiej Molka
ELO 1525
3-2Final setsMolka won
SWSylwester Wloszek
🇨🇿Sylwester Wloszek
ELO 1515
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Wloszek at 51%. The actual result was Bartlomiej Molka 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Sylwester Wloszek favoured — closing 1.75
Upset
Total 80.5
113 points played
Over
Set handicap
Sylwester Wloszek −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Sylwester Wloszek −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.45
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartlomiej Molka is favoured to win, below means Sylwester Wloszek.

▲ Bartlomiej Molkapre 45% → final 70%
Sylwester Wloszek ▼
Biggest swing 68 ptsMolka recovered from 19%72 points · 5 games