30 Sept · 18:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JC
🇨🇿Jiri Cerny
ELO 1481
FormLWWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Sochor
MS
🇨🇿Miroslav Sochor
ELO 1508
FormLLWWL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Sochor
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 46% · 2.17· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+27
H2H17-26
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.