30 Sep · 12:40 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Kindl
ELO 1480
3-1Final setsKindl won
LD
🇨🇿Lukas Dzida
ELO 1564
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Dzida at 58%. The actual result was Tomas Kindl 3-1 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Lukas Dzida favoured — closing 1.73
Set handicap
Lukas Dzida −1.5 sets
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.32
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Tomas Kindl is favoured to win, below means Lukas Dzida.
▲ Tomas Kindlpre 38% → final 87%
Lukas Dzida ▼
Biggest swing 54 ptsKindl recovered from 38%61 points · 3 games