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30 Sep · 13:35 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
FDFrantisek Dvorak
🇨🇿Frantisek Dvorak
ELO 1575
3-1Final setsDvorak won
SMSimon Matousch
🇨🇿Simon Matousch
ELO 1371
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Dvorak at 66%. The actual result was Frantisek Dvorak 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Frantisek Dvorak favoured — closing 1.31
Favourite won
Total 72.5
89 points played
Over
Set handicap
Frantisek Dvorak −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Frantisek Dvorak −7.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.4
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
9.1
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Frantisek Dvorak is favoured to win, below means Simon Matousch.

▲ Frantisek Dvorakpre 71% → final 97%
Simon Matousch ▼
Biggest swing 53 ptsDvorak recovered from 44%72 points · 4 games