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30 Sep · 19:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
PKPiotr Kedzierski
🇨🇿Piotr Kedzierski
ELO 1362
3-1Final setsKedzierski won
LBLukasz Buklat
🇨🇿Lukasz Buklat
ELO 1651
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Buklat at 66%. The actual result was Piotr Kedzierski 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Lukasz Buklat favoured — closing 1.25
Upset
Total 74.5
73 points played
Under
Set handicap
Lukasz Buklat −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Lukasz Buklat −7.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
9.75
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Piotr Kedzierski is favoured to win, below means Lukasz Buklat.

▲ Piotr Kedzierskipre 36% → final 100%
Lukasz Buklat ▼
Biggest swing 64 ptsKedzierski recovered from 36%72 points · 4 games