30 Sept · 22:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
KP
🇨🇿Kiejda Patryk
ELO 1534
FormLLWWL
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Patryk
PK
🇨🇿Piotr Kedzierski
ELO 1362
FormWLWLL
64%
36%
Fair odds · Patryk
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 71% · 1.40· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~75 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+172
H2H13-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+172)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-5)