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01 Oct · 08:25 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MCMartin Cerny
🇨🇿Martin Cerny
ELO 1737
0-3Final setsNadvornik won
VNVaclav Nadvornik
🇨🇿Vaclav Nadvornik
ELO 1700
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Cerny at 55%. The actual result was Vaclav Nadvornik 0-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Cerny favoured — closing 1.54
Upset
Total 74.5
58 points played
Under
Set handicap
Cerny −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Cerny −6.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 3
Under
Exact score
market priced 0-3 at close
4.1
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Martin Cerny is favoured to win, below means Vaclav Nadvornik.

▲ Martin Cernypre 59% → final 6%
Vaclav Nadvornik ▼
Biggest swing 67 ptsNadvornik recovered from 27%57 points · 3 games