1 Oct · 13:45 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PC
🇨🇿Petr Chlad
ELO 1469
FormWLLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Chlad
DS
🇨🇿Dominik Stefek
ELO 1462
FormLWLWW
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Stefek🌟Stefek covers set handicap as underdog 67% (49)
Fair odds · Chlad
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+7
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.