1 Oct · 15:45 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AK
🇨🇿Adam Kanak
ELO 1504
FormLWWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kanak
VK
🇨🇿Vojtech Konvicka
ELO 1495
FormWLWLL
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Konvicka🌟Kanak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 26% (82)
Fair odds · Kanak
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 61% · 1.64· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+9
H2H3-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.