1 Oct · 16:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MM
🇨🇿Michal Moravec
ELO 1587
FormLWWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Moravec
LD
🇨🇿Lukas Dzida
ELO 1564
FormLLLLW
52%
48%
🌟Dzida covers set handicap as underdog 63% (67)
Fair odds · Moravec
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+23
H2H2-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.