1 Oct · 16:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AK
🇨🇿Adam Kanak
ELO 1504
FormLWWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Dzida
LD
🇨🇿Lukas Dzida
ELO 1551
FormLLLLL
46%
54%
🌟Kanak covers set handicap as underdog 75% (61)
Fair odds · Dzida
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+47
H2H2-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.