1 Oct · 18:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TJ
🇨🇿Tomas Cerveny Jr
ELO 1536
FormWLWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Koutnik
VK
🇨🇿Vojtech Koutnik
ELO 1615
FormWWLWW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Koutnik
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+79
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+79)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)