1 Oct · 17:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AK
🇨🇿Adam Kanak
ELO 1504
FormLWWLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Moravec
MM
🇨🇿Michal Moravec
ELO 1587
FormLWWWW
43%
57%
🌟Kanak covers set handicap as underdog 75% (61)
Fair odds · Moravec
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~79 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+83
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+83)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)