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01 Oct · 10:10 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
VNVaclav Nadvornik
🇨🇿Vaclav Nadvornik
ELO 1700
3-1Final setsNadvornik won
MCMartin Cerny
🇨🇿Martin Cerny
ELO 1732
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Cerny at 54%. The actual result was Vaclav Nadvornik 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Martin Cerny favoured — closing 1.54
Upset
Total 74.5
68 points played
Under
Set handicap
Martin Cerny −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Martin Cerny −6.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.33
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.9
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Vaclav Nadvornik is favoured to win, below means Martin Cerny.

▲ Vaclav Nadvornikpre 42% → final 94%
Martin Cerny ▼
Biggest swing 67 ptsNadvornik recovered from 27%57 points · 3 games