1 Oct · 19:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
TF
🇨🇿Tomas Flicek
ELO 1552
FormLWLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Flicek
FS
🇨🇿Filip Strejc
ELO 1545
FormLLLLL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Flicek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+7
H2H22-25
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.