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01 Oct · 17:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
KZKrzysztof Zapala
🇨🇿Krzysztof Zapala
ELO 1462
3-2Final setsZapala won
BGBlazej Gola
🇨🇿Blazej Gola
ELO 1424
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Zapala at 53%. The actual result was Krzysztof Zapala 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Krzysztof Zapala favoured — closing 1.6
Favourite won
Total 77.5
90 points played
Over
Set handicap
Krzysztof Zapala −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Krzysztof Zapala −2.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.3
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Krzysztof Zapala is favoured to win, below means Blazej Gola.

▲ Krzysztof Zapalapre 57% → final 78%
Blazej Gola ▼
Biggest swing 87 ptsZapala recovered from 10%72 points · 5 games